What happens if the coalition splits




















Mr Morrison dismissed the idea, and said Nationals leader Michael McCormack has the full support of his party colleagues. The former resources minister has not ruled out joining such a breakaway group, but is not agitating for it to happen. Senator Canavan warned he would be in a "very difficult position" if the coalition parties split in Queensland.

But extraordinary because of the stable history of Coalition politics in NSW. Other states have seen such explosions. The Queensland Coalition Government exploded in acrimony in Disputes have also infected the federal Coalition in our lifetime.

The koala policy that's plunged NSW into political chaos. More on:. Top Stories Government releases its modelling underpinning the net zero emissions target. Second COP26 draft agreement softens language on coal and fossil fuel reduction.

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People rescued from floodwaters, dam spills after heavy rain lashes parts of NSW. At one point during the meeting, Morrison told the group he understood climate action was now a vote-changing issue, and not only in the seats of the people arrayed before him on the video call. To decode this observation, we need to understand the electoral dynamics of Climate change was certainly a headache for Liberals in a handful of safe city seats where the margins were sufficient to protect incumbents from incursions by independents.

Sign up to receive an email with the top stories from Guardian Australia every morning. Morrison evidently thinks things have shifted and this is a prime minister who researches propositions intensively. It will be yet more proof of his obnoxious dictatorial pragmatism. It is not clear yet whether or not conservative feet will be stamped or rhetorical punches thrown.

But wise prime ministers prepare for all contingencies. Morrison is as focused on the latter as he is on the former. One current litmus test of this is Glasgow, and whether or not the prime minister is prepared to front the Cop26 conference.

Perhaps Morrison will attend. Jet setting in the age of Covid requires periods in quarantine that are unhelpful for domestic visibility. Assuming the prime minister can land his net zero deal with Barnaby Joyce, Morrison would rather market his climate pivot at home rather than abroad.

Polls have Labor in front. Perhaps the surveys are all wrong. They were in — largely because polls in the modern era can be surveys of the politically engaged rather than disengaged voters who swing elections.



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